Tri-Community Adult Education

PublicOther / Unclassified

Fin. Resilience

Resilience score

vs. 317 peers in its group

Tri-Community Adult Education is a public institution in Covina, CA.

It enrolls about 217 undergraduates and is benchmarked here against 317 peer institutions (Other / Unclassified · Public).

On Ibex's Financial Resilience score it rates 34 out of 100 within that peer group, a transparent composite of endowment per undergraduate, net tuition revenue per student, and instructional spend per student.

Its strongest standing relative to peers is operating margin (76.9%, 99th percentile).

Its weakest is field-demand outlook (10-yr) (-2.3%).

Ibex's cross-metric scan flags: Undergrad enrollment down 24% since 2017.

Peer group

Other / Unclassified · Public

317 institutions

Undergrad enrollment down 24% since 2017

Policy & demographic exposure

How exposed Tri-Community Adult Education is to the structural shifts reshaping higher ed: a composite structural-risk index plus the 2025 federal budget law’s endowment excise tax, Grad PLUS elimination, new Parent PLUS borrowing cap and new Workforce Pell short-term-credential opportunity, and the demographic enrollment cliff. Only signals that apply to this institution are shown.

Structural risk index

Elevated

Workforce Pell exposure

100%

Certificate-intensive

Higher than 100% of schools nationally

Enrollment cliff (home state)

-27.7%

Severe decline

Among the most exposed nationally. In the top 10% of U.S. institutions on workforce pell exposure.

Indicative signals, not forecasts, see each metric’s definition and the methodology. Endowment-tax, Grad PLUS, Parent PLUS and Workforce Pell figures appear only where the institution is actually exposed; “nationally” compares against all schools that report each signal.

Turn these signals into action

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Revenue composition

Where the money comes from $5.1M total revenue · IPEDS FY2022-23

Government grants & contracts is the largest single source at 89% of revenue.

Government grants & contracts89.1%

Tuition & fees9.8%

Government appropriations1.1%

Other revenue0.0%

Where each dollar of revenue comes from, as a share of total positive revenue. Sources are standardized across public (GASB) and private (FASB) reporting; a net investment loss in a down market is shown as 0% and excluded from the mix.

Financial Health

Net tuition revenue / FTE

Average

$3,668

49th percentile in peer grouppeer median $3,778

313 peers

Instructional spend / FTE

Below peers

$5,490

19th percentile in peer grouppeer median $8,779

313 peers

Operating margin

Strong

76.9%

99th percentile in peer grouppeer median 10.5%

FY2022-23283 peers

Net surplus as a share of total revenue (IPEDS FY2022-23): (total revenues − total expenses) ÷ total revenues. A surplus above 4% is strong; a thin surplus near 0% leaves little margin for shocks.

Tuition dependency

9.8%

30th percentile in peer grouppeer median 22.4%

FY2022-23283 peers

Tuition & fees as a share of total revenue (IPEDS FY2022-23). Higher = more exposed to enrollment swings.

State appropriations share

1.1%

50th percentile in peer grouppeer median 1.1%

FY2022-23283 peers

State appropriations as a share of total revenue (IPEDS FY2022-23). Material for public institutions; ~0 for private.

Structural risk index

Elevated

– percentile in peer group

2024-25283 peers

An indicative 0–100 structural-risk index (higher = more pressure), an equal-weight blend of the stress signals we measure: thin or negative operating margin, low months of operating cushion, high tuition dependency, and a shrinking home-state high-school-graduate pipeline (enrollment cliff). Averaged over whichever signals are available (at least two required). It screens for the financial and demographic pressures that precede closures and mergers, a directional indicator, NOT a prediction that any institution will close, and not a credit rating.

Enrollment & Pipeline

Undergraduate enrollment

217

57th percentile in peer grouppeer median 166

316 peers

Pell recipient share

14.8%

19th percentile in peer grouppeer median 35%

312 peers

Adult learners (25+)

39.2%

51st percentile in peer grouppeer median 39.1%

2024-25313 peers

Share of undergraduates aged 25 or older (College Scorecard, FY2024-25). Read as context on the student mix: schools serving many working adults look different on persistence and part-time measures than traditional-age campuses, and neither is inherently better.

Part-time undergraduates

100%

100th percentile in peer grouppeer median 13.2%

2024-25316 peers

Share of undergraduates enrolled part-time (College Scorecard, FY2024-25). Context, not quality: a high part-time share is common at community and commuter institutions and affects graduation-rate comparisons, which are based only on full-time, first-time students.

Women (share of undergraduates)

44.2%

35th percentile in peer grouppeer median 53.4%

2024-25316 peers

Share of undergraduates who are women (College Scorecard, FY2024-25). Reported as context on the student mix, not a measure of quality.

12-month FTE enrollment

125

47th percentile in peer grouppeer median 148

2022-23316 peers

Full-time-equivalent enrollment over the full 12-month year (IPEDS 12-month enrollment, 2022-23). Counts part-time students at their fractional load, so it runs above fall full-time headcount and is the denominator used for per-student finance measures.

Student-faculty ratio

15:1

78th percentile in peer grouppeer median 10:1

2022-23313 peers

Students per instructional faculty member (IPEDS, fall 2023). Lower generally means smaller classes and more faculty contact, though the measure mixes undergraduate and graduate teaching and is institution-reported.

Fully online students

87th percentile in peer grouppeer median 0%

2024-25314 peers

Share of students enrolled exclusively in distance-education courses (IPEDS, Fall 2023). Describes delivery model, not quality; online-heavy institutions look different on residential measures.

Applicant-pool diversity shift

+5%

– percentile in peer group

WICHE 2024 (11th ed.)315 peers

Percentage-point change in the non-white share of the institution's home-state public high-school graduating class between the class of 2025 (the national peak) and 2037 (WICHE, Knocking at the College Door, 11th ed., public-school race detail). A forward look at who the future applicant pool will be: a positive value means the state's graduating class is projected to grow more racially diverse. Strategic recruiting context, not a forecast of any one school's enrollment, and a college recruits from many states.

Program concentration (HHI)

Highly concentrated

6,559

– percentile in peer group

2022-23171 peers

How concentrated the institution's degree and certificate output is across academic fields (CIP 2-digit families), as a Herfindahl-Hirschman Index on the latest year's completions: 10,000 means every completion is in one field; lower means output is spread across many. A higher value means the school leans on fewer fields and is more exposed to demand shifts in them; a lower value reflects a broad program portfolio. Shown for institutions reporting at least 100 annual completions. A structural-diversification signal, not a measure of quality.

Enrollment cliff (home state)

Severe decline

-27.7%

– percentile in peer group

2024-25315 peers

Projected change in the number of high-school graduates in the institution's HOME STATE from the class of 2025 (the national peak) to 2041, per WICHE's Knocking at the College Door, 11th Edition (Dec 2024). The 'enrollment cliff' is the post-2008 birth decline reaching college age; the U.S. total is projected to fall about 13% over this window. A college recruits from many states, so its home-state projection is an indicative directional signal of feeder-market pressure, not a forecast of that institution's own enrollment.

Workforce Pell exposure

Certificate-intensive

100%

– percentile in peer group

2024-25278 peers

Share of the institution's measured credentials that are undergraduate certificates, the sub-associate tier that the 2025 budget law's new Workforce Pell Grant makes Pell-eligible from July 1, 2026. Workforce Pell extends the Pell Grant to short-term workforce programs of 150 to 600 clock hours offered over 8 to 15 weeks, subject to state-workforce-board and accreditor approval and to job-placement, completion and earnings-value guardrails. This is an opportunity signal: a higher share means more of what the school already produces could draw new federal grant aid, and the upside is greatest where Pell reliance (shown separately) is also high. Computed as undergraduate-certificate completions divided by all credential completions in the College Scorecard Field-of-Study file (most recent release). Scorecard's 'Undergraduate Certificate' level spans certificates of varying length, so the statutory 150-600 clock-hour window is a subset of this tier, read this as an upper-bound exposure proxy, not a count of qualifying programs. Shown only for institutions that confer such certificates above a minimum completions floor.

Enrollment momentum (CAGR)

Below peers

-3.9%

32nd percentile in peer grouppeer median -0.8%

2024-25314 peers

Compound annual growth rate of undergraduate enrollment over the years the tool tracks (College Scorecard, roughly 2016-2024). Positive means the school is growing; negative means it is shrinking, the leading indicator of demand stress ahead of the demographic cliff. Banded against the school's peer group.

Net-price momentum (CAGR)

Strong

-4%

22nd percentile in peer grouppeer median 2.2%

2024-25310 peers

Compound annual growth rate of net tuition revenue per full-time-equivalent student over the tracked years. A high positive rate means the school's real net price is climbing faster than peers, which can strain affordability and yield. Banded against the school's peer group. Lower is better.

Direct competitors within 100 mi

Average

35th percentile in peer grouppeer median 14

2024-25317 peers

How many institutions of the same type (same Carnegie classification and control, i.e. the schools competing for the same students) sit within roughly 100 miles. A higher count means a more crowded local market and a harder yield fight, which matters most as the regional pool of high school graduates shrinks; a low count means the school has its catchment largely to itself. Distance is straight-line from campus coordinates. Banded against the school's peer group. Fewer is better for recruiting leverage.

Hybrid (some online) enrollment

88th percentile in peer grouppeer median 0%

Fall 2023314 peers

Share of all students taking some, but not all, of their courses at a distance (IPEDS, Fall 2023). This is the hybrid middle ground between the fully online share and the fully in-person share, and it signals how far a school has moved coursework online without going exclusively remote. Context metric, not better or worse. Banded against the school's peer group.

Transfer-in share (undergraduate)

91st percentile in peer grouppeer median 0%

Fall 2023313 peers

Transfer-in students as a share of all undergraduates (IPEDS, Fall 2023). A high share means the school depends on transfer pipelines rather than first-time freshmen, which changes both recruitment strategy and melt/retention risk. Context metric, not better or worse. Banded against the school's peer group.

Graduate share of enrollment

96th percentile in peer grouppeer median 0%

Fall 2023314 peers

Graduate students as a share of total headcount enrollment (IPEDS, Fall 2023). It separates research-intensive universities with large graduate bodies from undergraduate-focused institutions. Context metric, not better or worse. Banded against the school's peer group.

Women share of faculty

70.7%

72nd percentile in peer grouppeer median 55.3%

2023-24304 peers

Women as a share of all instructional staff, full- and part-time combined (IPEDS Human Resources, Fall 2023). A gender-composition signal for the teaching workforce. Context metric, not better or worse. Banded against the school's peer group.

Faculty of color share

31.7%

84th percentile in peer grouppeer median 8.7%

2023-24304 peers

Instructional staff who are American Indian/Alaska Native, Asian, Black, Hispanic, Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, or two-or-more races, as a share of all instructional staff (IPEDS Human Resources, Fall 2023). Nonresident and race-unknown staff are excluded from the numerator. Context metric, not better or worse. Banded against the school's peer group.

Enrollment forecast (5-yr)

Below peers

-24.7%

32nd percentile in peer grouppeer median -11.8%

2024-2029 projection312 peers

Projected cumulative change in total enrollment roughly five years out, modeled by a least-squares log-linear fit on the school's own enrollment history (2016-2024). It uses the full multi-year series, so a single shock year (such as 2020) does not drive the result. This is a naive trend extrapolation, not a demographic model, and is capped at plus or minus 60 percent; treat it as direction-of-travel, not a precise count. Banded against the school's peer group; higher means projected growth.

On-campus crime rate

Below peers

0 per 1k

85th percentile in peer grouppeer median 0 per 1k

2024 (Clery)202 peers

Criminal offenses reported on campus in 2024 (murder, manslaughter, the four sex-offense categories, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, motor-vehicle theft and arson) per 1,000 students, from the school's federal Clery Act filing. Counts and enrollment are summed across the institution's campuses. A higher number does not always mean a more dangerous school: thorough reporting and dense residential campuses raise it. Lower is generally safer. Banded against the school's peer group.

In-state HS graduates

469,214

100th percentile in peer grouppeer median 137,304

Class of 2025 (WICHE)315 peers

The size of the school's home-state high-school graduating class in 2025 (WICHE Knocking at the College Door, public and private combined). It is the near-term in-state feeder market, the complement to the enrollment-cliff projection, which shows the direction that market is heading. Context metric, not better or worse. Banded against the school's peer group.

Metro-area unemployment rate

Below peers

6.6%

96th percentile in peer grouppeer median 5%

ACS 2019-23289 peers

The civilian unemployment rate in the school's metropolitan or micropolitan area (US Census ACS 2019-23, mapped by the school's federal CBSA code). It is a proxy for local labor demand: a lower rate means a tighter job market, a stronger near-term destination for graduates and a smaller pool of working adults to recruit. It describes the local economy, not the school. Schools outside any metro area are not scored. Banded against the school's peer group.

Student body

Undergraduate race & ethnicity IPEDS 2024-25

Hispanic/Latino48.4%

White31.3%

Black12.4%

Asian4.6%

Two or more races3.2%

Undergraduate enrollment by race and ethnicity, as reported to IPEDS (College Scorecard). “International” denotes nonresident students; “Unknown” means race/ethnicity was not reported.

Student Outcomes & Risk

Share taking federal loans

50th percentile in peer grouppeer median 0.6%

312 peers

Withdrew by year 2

Below peers

34.7%

87th percentile in peer grouppeer median 19.2%

2024-25126 peers

Share of students who had withdrawn from this institution by the end of their second year (College Scorecard, FY2024-25). An early-attrition signal, where lower is better; high part-time or adult-learner enrollment can raise it without reflecting institutional quality.

Field-demand outlook (10-yr)

Net-declining field mix

-2.3%

0th percentile in peer group

BLS EP 2024-34171 peers

Projected 10-year (2024-34) change in U.S. employment for the occupations this institution's degrees and certificates feed, blended across its program mix. Built by mapping each CIP 2-digit field to its occupations via the NCES CIP-SOC crosswalk, taking the employment-weighted average of each occupation's BLS-projected percent change, then weighting fields by the institution's latest-year completions. The U.S. all-occupations benchmark is 3.1%, so a higher value means the school's graduates concentrate in faster-growing labor markets. An INDICATIVE field-level signal at broad-field granularity, not a program-specific or graduate-specific projection, and not a placement or earnings guarantee. Shown where at least 50% of completions fall in fields with a coherent occupational mapping and the school reports 100+ annual completions.

Top fields of study (all levels)

Tri-Community Adult Education’s largest fields by completions, with graduate earnings (4 years out) and debt benchmarked against the same field at its peer group. Sparklines show the 8-year completions trend.

Field	Completions / yr	Median earnings, 4 yrs out	Median debt	Earnings premium	Risk score
Precision Production	120	–	–	–	–
Legal Professions & Studies	34	–	–	–	–

Earnings-premium status is an indicative estimate: median graduate earnings four years out vs the CA state median earnings of a high-school graduate (undergraduate credentials) or a bachelor’s-degree holder (graduate credentials) from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (2022 ACS 5-year). The official U.S. Department of Education determination uses its own cohort definition and may differ.

The risk score (0–100) is an indicative blend of earnings-premium margin and the five-year completions trend, higher means a field pays closer to (or below) the benchmark and is shrinking. A directional screen, not an official determination.

Major-level detail (CIP 4-digit)

Precision Production – 1 CIP program (4-digit), 0 with earnings

Major (CIP 4-digit)	Compl./yr	Earn 4yr	Earn 1yr	% > threshold	Median debt	Debt/earn	Earnings premium	2 of 3 yrs
Precision Metal WorkingCIP 4805 ›	120	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

Major-level earnings, debt and threshold pass-rates are reported by College Scorecard only where enough graduates exist to protect privacy, so 0 of 1 major shows an earnings figure; the rest read “–”. % > threshold is ED’s own share of graduates out-earning the federal earnings threshold (the do-no-harm pass rate), drawn from the best available measurement window (4-, 5- or 1-year) pooled across all nine College Scorecard Field-of-Study releases; a small chip marks any figure not on the 4-year window, and hovering names the cohort size and source release. 2 of 3 yrs flags fields below the earnings-premium benchmark in two of the latest three reported cohort-years, the statutory trigger under the 2025 test (effective July 1, 2026). Indicative; the Department of Education’s official determination may differ. Source: U.S. Department of Education, College Scorecard Field of Study (2014–15 through 2022–23 cohorts + most-recent snapshot), accessed March 2026.

Legal Professions & Studies – 1 CIP program (4-digit), 0 with earnings

Major (CIP 4-digit)	Compl./yr	Earn 4yr	Earn 1yr	% > threshold	Median debt	Debt/earn	Earnings premium	2 of 3 yrs
Legal Support ServicesCIP 2203 ›	34	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

See the interactive dashboard for all fields and credential levels (associate through doctoral). Source: College Scorecard Field of Study.

Frequently asked

What is Tri-Community Adult Education's student-faculty ratio?

Tri-Community Adult Education reports a student-faculty ratio of 15:1 (IPEDS, fall 2023) – that is, about 15 students for every instructional faculty member.

Which schools are Tri-Community Adult Education's peers?

Tri-Community Adult Education is benchmarked against 317 institutions in the Other / Unclassified · Public peer group; all percentiles and medians on this page are computed within that group.

Compare with peers

Greater Altoona Career & Technology Center Four County Career Center Clovis Adult Education Northwest Technical Institute TCAT Athens York County School of Technology-Adult & Continuing Education

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Source: U.S. Department of Education, College Scorecard & IPEDS (most recent releases), with the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Employment Projections, field-demand outlook) and WICHE (enrollment-cliff projections). Figures lag the current academic year by roughly two to three years. Percentiles and medians are computed within the institution's peer group. Financial Resilience is a transparent composite, see each component above. Compiled by Ibex Insights.